Track Record
Full public results for the MLB model, broken out by confidence and time period.
Tier stats are shown under our current model rules. The all-time line includes the entire graded history for transparency.
These are the fully graded public results for the MLB model, broken out by confidence level and time period. No locks, no cherry-picked runs, just the sample and the numbers that come with it.
We only put plays on the board when there is real edge. If the card is light, that is the model doing its job.
Standard Model Confidence
7–10% edge signals — fully graded and tracked
Higher Model Confidence
10%+ edge signals — fully graded and tracked
Performance by Sport
| Segment | Bets | Record | Win % | ROI | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 740 | 392-333-15P | 54.1% | +1.9% | +13.6u |
Performance by Play Type
| Segment | Bets | Record | Win % | ROI | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Totals | 384 | 200-169-15P | 54.2% | +3.5% | +12.8u |
| Run Line | 233 | 127-106 | 54.5% | -1.0% | -2.4u |
| Moneyline | 123 | 65-58 | 52.8% | +2.6% | +3.2u |
Want every bet, every result, every line?
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