Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Went 2-0 Monday. PHI/MIA finished 1-0 — well under. CHW shut out the Angels 6-0 and the Under 7.5 cashed easy. Season record: 111-99-5P.

Six plays today across a 15-game slate.

MLB · TEX @ NYY · Run Line

Yankees -1.5

DeGrom starts for Texas which is why the line looks strange — but Rodríguez takes the hill for New York with a 2.0 WHIP and 9.0 BB/9. NYY pen is taxed (four tired arms) but the model still has them covering at 46.2%. Market is only pricing that at 37.9%.

MLB · CIN @ CHC · Total

Over 8.0

Wrigley, both bullpens worn down, Cubs averaging 5.4 runs a game. Model projects 9.9 combined. Line is sitting a full run and a half below that.

MLB · CWS @ LAA · Total

Over 9.0

Aldegheri has a 7.9 ERA and 6.6 BB/9. Fedde isn't much better. Two bad starters, two taxed pens.

MLB · PIT @ ARI · Run Line

Pirates +1.5

Model's strongest signal today. Bubba Chandler (2.88 FIP) vs. a shaky Eduardo Rodriguez. Model has Pittsburgh covering at 73.6%, market at 64.5%.

MLB · ATL @ SEA · Run Line

Braves +1.5

Kirby is good but Atlanta keeps it close. Model has them staying within a run at 72.4%.

MLB · SD @ SF · Run Line

Padres +1.5

Logan Webb is sharp but Buehler is walking everyone (4.35 BB/9). Low-scoring game projected — market is overpricing the Giants winning by two.

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MLB · MIN @ WSH · Run Line

Nationals +1.5

MLB · TEX @ NYY · Total

Under 8.5

MLB · MIL @ STL · Total

Over 7.5

MLB · NYM @ COL · Total

Under 9.5

MLB · NYM @ COL · Run Line

Rockies +1.5

MLB · PIT @ ARI · Moneyline

Pirates ML

MLB · ATL @ SEA · Moneyline

Braves ML

MLB · SD @ SF · Total

Under 7.5

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